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epidemiology

Down on Vitamin D? It could be the cause of chronic inflammation

Inflammation is an essential part of the body's healing process. But when it persists, it can contribute to a wide range of complex diseases...

COVID will soon be endemic. This doesn’t mean it’s harmless or we give up, just that it’s part of life

Image: Joan Mateu/AP/AAP We have experienced many bumps in the road since 2020 and one would have to be extremely brave to predict what the...

Australia shouldn’t ‘open up’ before we vaccinate at least 80% of the population. Here’s why

  Picture: Shutterstock Earlier this month National Cabinet released a four-phase COVID response plan. It wasn’t so much a plan – it had no dates and...

Victoria’s 5-day lockdown may not quash Delta. Here’s what our modelling predicts instead

  Daniel Pockett/AAP Image Victoria has entered a five-day lockdown to control its growing outbreak of the more infectious Delta variant. Until midnight on Tuesday restrictions mean residents are only allowed...

Hotel quarantine causes 1 outbreak for every 204 infected travellers. It’s far from ‘fit for purpose’

  Picture: James Ross/AAP With Melbourne under lockdown for another seven days, the consequences of Australia’s inefficient and dangerous quarantine system continue. This outbreak started with...

What’s the risk if Australia opens its international borders? An epidemiologist explains

  Picture: Mick Tsikas/AAP Coinciding with the Trans-Tasman travel bubble starting today, over the past week there have been murmurings Australia could soon relax its borders further, through...

A 14-day rolling average of 5 new daily cases is the wrong trigger for easing Melbourne lockdown. Let’s look at ‘under investigation’ cases instead

Image: Shuttlestock Many Melburnians have despaired in recent days as it became clear the next step on its roadmap out of lockdown will be taken a...

Sorry Melbourne. The chance of reaching an average 5 COVID-19 cases by mid-October is under 50%

Image: Shuttlestock Melburnians are addicted to the Victorian health department’s daily tweet of the state’s new COVID-19 cases. This figure contributes to the all-important...

Victoria now has a good roadmap out of COVID-19 restrictions. New South Wales should emulate it

Picture: Erik Anderson/AAP The COVID-19 roadmap for Victoria announced by Premier Daniel Andrews sets the state on the right path. Something like it should be emulated...

As restrictions ease, here are 5 crucial ways for Australia to stay safely on top of COVID-19

Bianca de Marchi/AAP Image As Australia’s coronavirus restrictions are gradually lifted, we may well see an upswing in cases of COVID-19. The World Health Organisation has warned of...
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